The US dollar continues higher despite falling yields and as the US considers news stimulus. The Fed Chair dismissed long-term inflation concerns. He speaks again alongside the Treasury Secretary. US Durable Goods Orders and Markit’s PMIs are eyed.
Greenback grinding higher: EUR/USD is flirting with the lowest levels in four months, GBP/USD is battling to hold onto 1.37 and commodity currencies are also on the back foot. The world’s reserve currency is rising despite the fall in yields, with returns on ten-year Treasuries falling to 1.60%.
The dollar and the yen are benefiting from a risk-off mood in markets, but speculation about new US stimulus – partially funded by tax hikes may also explain the moves. The White House is mulling a $3 trillion infrastructure spending package, potentially in two stages.
Testimonies: US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell have testified before Congress and will return to Capitol Hill on Wednesday. Powell acknowledged that inflation will probably rise in the next few months, but will not be persistent.
US Durable Goods Orders figures for February are set to show a moderate increase in investment last month, contributing to robust growth. Markit’s preliminary Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for March are also of interest.
Vaccine nationalism: The EU is drafting rules that would limit exports of vaccines and materials used to produce them, in an attempt to ramp up its immunization campaign. The move aggravates tensions with the UK, which receives doses made on the continent. Any curbs may also slow the production of vaccines sent to other countries.
Markit’s eurozone PMIs are set to show an upbeat picture for the manufacturing sector but ongoing issues for the lockdown-sensitive services sector. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is set to speak later in the day.
The Suez Canal is blocked after a large ship got stuck close to Port Said. The maritime traffic jam is pushing oil prices higher after they dropped on earlier in the week.
Bitcoin is trading around $55,000, rising after Tesla’s founder Elon Musk tweeted that his firm will now accept Bitcoin and will not convert it into dollars. Ethereum is below $1,700 and XRP is changing hands around $0.55.